“I’ve seen the melting ice with my own two eyes.
But let me ask you this: When I met you, I asked if you felt like you were cursed to be born when you were, if you felt like you had arrived just in time to see the world end.
So I’m guessing that you think the world is collapsing because of the feminization of society, something like that?
That we’re killing masculinity?
[…] and in my corner of the internet, the harbingers of doom were the opposite: savage patriarchal governments crushing women’s rights, taking us back to the dark ages while overpopulation destroys the environment.
So that’s two groups who both believe the world is ending, but for totally opposite reasons.
Some say runaway capitalism, some say runaway socialism.
Some say it’ll be chaotic lawlessness, some say iron-fisted authoritarianism.
It’s like I have one panicked neighbor saying there’s an impending drought and another screaming that we’re all about to drown in a flood.
Somebody has to be wrong.”
“That wouldn’t make them both wrong.”
Ether groaned and put her head in her hands.
“Okay,” she said, trying again.
“How about this: What do you think the world will look like in the future, post-collapse?”
Abbott thought for a moment as if picturing it.
“Uh, terrified people scrounging for food and running from bandits.
Rampant disease, infrastructure breakdown.
All the stuff from the movies, I guess.”
“No internet?”
“I wouldn’t think so.”
“No electricity?
No running water, no sewage?
No hospitals?”
“Probably not.”
“Got it.
So, what I’m about to say isn’t an opinion, it’s not a matter of personal philosophy or politics.
It is an objective fact that what you’re describing is how virtually all humans have lived through all of history.
Until, that is, about thirty years ago.
Just in the time I’ve been alive, somewhere between two and a half and three billion people got their first access to clean water and toilets.
That’s billion, with a B.
About that same number got electricity in their homes for the first time in their lives.
Worldwide, infant mortality has been cut in half, illiteracy has dropped almost as much.
Suicides are going up here in the US, but worldwide, they’ve dropped by a third—again, that’s all just in my lifetime.
Basically, every positive category has skyrocketed: access to communication, paved roads, motorized transportation, international travel, climate control, medicine…”
“Okay, it sounds like you’re talking about a bunch of good stuff that happened in China and India and—I don’t know.
A bunch of poor countries I’ll never visit.”
“I’m talking about how your entire life span has been spent in a literal reverse apocalypse.
I’m talking about billions of people who lived in what you would consider post-collapse conditions have had those conditions remedied, gaining roofs and lights and safety.
A human’s chances of dying from famine or natural disasters are as low as they’ve ever been, ever, in the history of the species.
It’s been nothing short of a worldwide miracle that makes everything Jesus supposedly did in the Bible look like party tricks.
And people like you and me and others in our demographic describe that state of affairs as the world being ‘on fire.’ I think that’s a bizarre mass delusion and that there’s a very specific reason for it: we’ve been trained to cling to a miserable view of the world to the point that we think that not seeing the world as miserable makes us bad people.
When I spent those months doing hallucinogens, I didn’t suddenly see the beauty and harmony of nature; I saw that humans everywhere were working really hard to make life better for other humans and that almost none of us appreciate it.
I’m not crediting this miracle to capitalism or socialism or any other kind of ism but to the fact that it’s what humans do, because humans are amazing.
And it’s all invisible to us because the progress occurs behind these dark walls of cynicism, outside the black box of doom.”
“That’s nice.
And again, nothing you said means anything considering the world’s scientists have agreed that climate change will wipe out civilization.”
“If we don’t fix it, yeah.
Climate change is a huge deal; it’s terrifying.
And also, it is objectively true that if we do fix it, the media will only report it as bad news.
All the headlines will be about the oil and coal workers who lost their jobs, birds dying to windmills—they’ll only focus on the negative side effects.
And don’t tell me we never clean up our messes.
There used to be oil slicks on our rivers that would literally catch fire.
Sulfur dioxide used to choke the air—when’s the last time you’ve heard about acid rain?
Or the hole in the ozone layer?
Go read about how previous generations all had lead poisoning or how food contamination used to be a nightmare.
I’m not saying everything will be fine; I can’t predict the future.
I’m saying that it is a one hundred percent certifiable guaranteed fact that it can be fine.
But people like us have decided that we’re never allowed to even acknowledge the possibility.”
“Or maybe it’s hard for people to care about toilets in India when another maniac is shooting up a school every week.”
“You think that happens every week?”
“I bet you have a whole bunch of stats to dump on me about that, too.
I’m sure the parents of those dead kids would love to hear them.”
“And there’s the anger.
People hate it when you threaten their nihilism!
That’s the black box, drawing you back in.
Can’t you see that it wants you to be afraid to do anything but cower in front of your screens?
It only has one trick, one card to play, which is this idea that bad news is the only news you can trust.
I’m telling you, if you just allow yourself to step outside of it, you’ll see it for what it is: a prison where the walls are made of nightmares.”
— Ether and Abbot in Jason Pargin, I’m Starting to Worry About This Black Box of Doom, St. Martin’s Press, Ch. Day 3, p. 234-236, 2024